Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.062321 0.073574 0.086171 0.101305 0.118979 0.138953 0.163227
2025-06-01 0.044478 0.058844 0.076729 0.100569 0.131452 0.170043 0.221862
2025-06-08 0.033920 0.049053 0.069512 0.099064 0.140514 0.196423 0.277380
2025-06-15 0.028163 0.043834 0.066509 0.101488 0.153829 0.228928 0.344483
2025-06-22 0.023146 0.038435 0.061917 0.100285 0.161017 0.252947 0.402003
2025-06-29 0.019091 0.033619 0.057170 0.097694 0.165160 0.272279 0.454248
2025-07-06 0.015833 0.029439 0.052620 0.094455 0.167396 0.288368 0.502766
2025-07-13 0.014081 0.027507 0.051436 0.096519 0.178460 0.319773 0.579896
2025-07-20 0.012428 0.025444 0.049650 0.097144 0.186910 0.347491 0.653739
2025-07-27 0.011059 0.023669 0.048086 0.097863 0.195464 0.376156 0.732363
2025-08-03 0.009981 0.022280 0.047024 0.099321 0.205472 0.408424 0.821115
2025-08-10 0.009220 0.021417 0.046854 0.102472 0.219085 0.448853 0.929788
2025-08-17 0.007933 0.019224 0.043684 0.099124 0.219400 0.464007 0.991779
2025-08-24 0.007088 0.017882 0.042128 0.098989 0.226401 0.493378 1.086123
2025-08-31 0.006267 0.016451 0.040154 0.097623 0.230528 0.517227 1.171683
2025-09-07 0.005804 0.015806 0.039868 0.100038 0.243301 0.560738 1.304106
2025-09-14 0.005177 0.014636 0.038164 0.098855 0.247661 0.586362 1.400084
2025-09-21 0.004557 0.013370 0.036027 0.096301 0.248418 0.603944 1.479834
2025-09-28 0.003987 0.012133 0.033771 0.093107 0.247171 0.616709 1.549797
2025-10-05 0.003721 0.011708 0.033558 0.095142 0.259200 0.662012 1.701871
2025-10-12 0.003421 0.011129 0.032849 0.095759 0.267674 0.699667 1.839550
2025-10-19 0.003156 0.010605 0.032208 0.096468 0.276476 0.739090 1.985948
2025-10-26 0.002941 0.010200 0.031845 0.097906 0.287424 0.785115 2.154113